1.
A guarantee
by GE to contribute equity to GEC if certain conditions are met (“If GEC’s
ratio of earnings to fixed charges, which was 1.72 to 1 at the end of 2001
deteriorates to 1.10 to 1 or, upon redemption of certain preferred stock,
its ratio of debt to equity, which was 7.31 to 1 at the end of 2001
exceeds 8 to 1, GE has committed to contribute capital to GEC.”)
2.
GEC has $8.1B in deferred income taxes that will not come
due as long as GEC continues to grow tax advantaged business, which they
expect to do indefinitely. These deferred taxes in effect act as
additional retained earnings, or implicit equity. This amount is NOT
included in our calculations.
Of the$26.7B in equity, $11.7B supports the insurance
business. Our estimate of the equity supporting the $108B in MMF assets is
$5.3B, after subtracting goodwill of $2.5B assigned to MMF.
Reserves
It is difficult to determine true reserve levels for GEC: a top down
approach suggests $9.1B in reserves against future losses, while a bottom
up approach shows $9.6B ($5.3B against the $190B in financing receivables;
$4.3B in over reserves in insurance and elsewhere). For our analysis, we
used $9.6B. The reserves for on balance sheet non-consumer financing
receivables ($125B) are $2.8B, of which about $1.8B appears due to MMF
business.
Earnings
Net earnings after taxes for 2001
were reported as $5.9B, of which $1.28B were from MMF. Taxes were reported
as $1.73B, but actual cash taxes were just $269M, resulting in cash
earnings of $5.90 + $1.73 - $0.27 = $7.36B. These earnings included a gain
on sale of the Americom business ($1.2B gain on sale, of which about $0.4B
appeared to have been salted away in reserves, and $0.8B brought down to
pre-tax income). For the Benchmark Report, we used the reported net
earnings. Using cash earnings, and adjusting out the one time gain on
Americom, would have increased ROE by about 4 percentage points.
Summary
The figures in the benchmark report were developed by adhering as closely
as reasonable to the published figures for GEC assets, equity, reserves,
and earnings. Most of the adjustments that might reasonably have been made
to earnings would increase reported ROE; adjustments that might have been
made to equity (considering deferred taxes; including unamoritized
goodwill) would have reduced ROE. The only scenario that would increase
the GEC ratio of equity to assets to the average risk capital level for
the equipment leasing industry would be to include all reserves and all
goodwill in the equity figures, while omitting assets for which GEC is not
truly at risk.
MMF in particular appears to operate with a low level of equity, even if
goodwill is included (about 7.5% with goodwill). This reflects the very
careful and proactive approach to risk management adopted both in the
origination processes and in the ongoing portfolio management. Given the
general credit profile of MMF customers, which is similar or possibly
slightly lower than average for the leasing industry, this suggests the
value the rating agencies place on sound risk management and standardized
processes.